基于風險管理理論的莫高窟監測預警體系構建與預防性保護探索=Construction of a Monitoring and Precaution System and Exploration of Preventive Conservation at the Mogao Grottoes Based on Risk Management Theory
Cultural heritage sites throughout China have been affected and threatened by a lot of risk factors,most of which have combined to result in many kinds of deterioration that threaten the permanent Perdervation of these sites. Since the 1990 s, cultural heritage risk management theory has been applied to the conservation research of cultural heritage against natural disasters. The theory can be used to identify all the risks effecting cultural heritage maintenance, assess the severity of each risk, and propose appropriate risk mitigation strategies.Based on this risk management theory, this paper first reviews the conservation history of the Mogao Grottoes,then points out that the risk monitoring and precaution system should be built to achieve various conservation and management goals, including monitoring changes at cultural heritage sites, forecasting risks, pre-controlling emergency dangers and conserving in advance, and then discusses how to build a risk monitoring and precaution system at the grottoes and what should be done or resolved first. The guidance of the risk monitoring and precaution system indicates that the only way to realize preventive conservation of the Mogao Grottoes is to carry out research on risk precaution and mitigate damages caused by various risk factors.
